M4.2.4 For the adult
Growth and decay
The fish in a lake fall by 15% every year. Will the lake ever have no fish at all?
What this chapter teaches
Growth and decay by a fixed percent are repeated multiplication. A fall of 15% a year multiplies by 0.85 each year. The graph of decay falls quickly at first and then flattens, but stays above zero. The graph of growth bends upward.
Three questions to ask
There is no one right wording. Listen for the idea.
- What do you multiply by each year if something falls by 15% a year?
- Why does a rise of 10% a year for 2 years not make a rise of 20%?
- Why does the decay curve never reach zero in the model?
After the chapter, the learner can
- Use the multiplier 0.85 for a 15% fall each year
- Model a goat herd that grows by 10% a year
What they copy into their notebook
A fall of p% a year multiplies by 1 − p/100 every year. A rise multiplies by 1 + p/100. Decay stays above zero. Growth bends upward.